Post by brosin on Mar 7, 2010 16:11:44 GMT -5
Group Stats as of July 16:
(order of the numbers goes bull, bear, b bull, b bear, randoms)
*the first 2 days didn't not have baby choices.
--------------------------------------------Correct Answer------------Dead On / Right Side
Feb 16: 9, 7, 1, 1 ---------------------------- bull ----------------- 56% / 56%* would’ve been Bull
Feb 17: 20, 14, 2 ----------------------------- bull ---------------- 59% / 59%* would’ve been BBull
Feb 18: 10, 8, 6, 5, 3, 1 -------------------- bull ------------------ 30% / 48%
Feb 19: 3, 16, 2, 2, 0, 1 -------------------- baby bull ----------- 13% / 21%
Feb 22: 6, 4, 2, 5, 1, 0 --------------------- baby bear ----------- 28% / 50%
Feb 23: 7, 6, 2, 5, 1, 0 --------------------- bear ----------------- 29% / 52%
Feb 24: 9, 7, 3, 2, 1, 0 -------------------- bull ------------------- 41% / 55%
Feb 25, 10, 6, 2, 0, 1, 2 -------------------- baby bear ------------ 0% / 29%
Feb 26: 17, 2, 2, 4, 0, 1 ------------------- baby bear ------------- 15% / 23%
March 1: 11, 5, 5, 1, 0, 1 ------------------- baby bull ------------- 22% / 70%
March 2: 8, 7, 5, 5, 1, 0 --------------------- bull ------------------ 30% / 50%
March 3: 6, 10, 2, 5, 0, 0 -------------------- baby bear ------------ 22% / 65%
March 4: 9, 16, 2, 9, 0, 0 -------------------- baby bull ------------- 6% / 31%
March 5: 4, 9, 3, 5, 0, 1 ---------------------- bull -------------------- 18% / 32%
March 8: 8, 4, 4, 5, 0 ------------------------- baby bear ----------- 24% / 43%
March 9: 6, 11, 1, 4, 0, 0 -------------------- baby bull ------------- 5% / 32%
March 10: 11, 10, 2, 2, 0, 1 ----------------- baby bull ------------- 8% / 50%
March 11: 9, 11, 1, 3, 0, 0 ------------------ baby bull -------------- 4% / 42%
March 12: 3, 13, 3, 4, 2 ---------------------- baby bull ------------ 12% / 24%
March 15: 8, 6, 4, 7, 2, 3 -------------------- baby bull ------------ 13% / 40%
March 16: 6, 7, 6, 5, 0 ----------------------- baby bull ------------ 25% / 50%
March 17: 7, 10, 4, 2, 0 -------------------- baby bull -------------- 17% / 48%
March 18: 4, 11, 5, 5, 0 --------------------- baby bull ------------- 20% / 36%
March 19: 7, 5, 6, 3, 1 ------------------------ baby bear ----------- 13% / 36%
March 22: 6, 13, 4, 1, 0, 1 -------------------- baby bull ----------- 16% / 40%
March 23: 7, 3, 6, 6, 0, 3 ---------------------- bull ----------------- 28% / 52%
March 24: 3, 5, 6, 7, 0, 0 ---------------------- bear ---------------- 24% / 57%
March 25: 6, 4, 5, 6, 1, 2 --------------------- baby bull ---------- 21% / 46%
March 26: 3, 8, 6, 7 ---------------------------- baby bull ----------- 25% / 38%
March 29: 10, 6, 6, 3 --------------------------- baby bull ----------- 24% / 64%
March 30: 6, 7, 7, 4, 1 ------------------------- baby bull ------------ 28% / 52%
March 31: 3, 8, 7, 3, 1 ------------------------- bear ------------------ 36% / 50%
April 1: 10, 9, 2, 4, 1, 1 ------------------------- bull ------------------ 37% / 44%
April 5: 7, 3, 6, 3, 1 ----------------------------- baby bull ------------ 30% / 65%
April 6: 4, 5, 7, 7, 1 ----------------------------- baby bear ---------- 29% / 50%
April 7: 6, 7, 4, 3, 2, 1 -------------------------- bear ----------------- 30% / 43%
April 8: 8, 6, 4, 4 -------------------------------- baby bull ------------ 18% / 55%
April 9: 6, 5, 5, 1 --------------------------------- bull ------------------ 35% / 65%
April 12: 6, 6, 7, 2, 0, 1 ------------------------- baby bull ----------- 32% / 59%
April 13: 5, 12, 7, 2, 0 ------------------------- baby bull ------------ 27% / 46%
April 14: 9, 7, 7, 1, 0 --------------------------- bull ------------------- 38% / 67%
April 15: 7, 4, 9, 5, 0, 2 ------------------------ baby bull ------------ 33% / 59%
April 16: 3, 9, 6, 2, 0 --------------------------- bear ----------------- 45% / 55%
April 19: 6, 8, 6, 3, 0, 1 ------------------------ bull ------------------ 25% / 50%
April 20: 3, 1, 9, 2 ----------------------------- baby bull ----------- 60% / 80%
April 21: 5, 2, 13, 3, 1 ------------------------- baby bull ----------- 54% / 75%
April 22: 4, 7, 7, 1 ------------------------------ baby bull ---------- 37% / 58%
April 23: 4, 2, 5, 4 ----------------------------- bull ------------------ 27% / 60%
April 26: 7, 0, 6, 2 ----------------------------- baby bull ----------- 47% / 87%
April 27: 4, 4, 2, 1 ----------------------------- bear ---------------- 36% / 45%
April 28: 6, 3, 5, 5 ---------------------------- baby bull ---------- 26% / 58%
April 29: 3, 3, 8, 2 ----------------------------- bull --------------- 17% / 65%
April 30: 4, 4, 7, 2 ---------------------------- bear ---------------- 24% / 35%
June 1: 11, 5, 2, 2, 1 ------------------------ bear -------------- 24% / 33%
June 2: 7, 7, 2, 1, 1 ------------------------- bull ---------------- 39% / 50%
June 3: 7, 6, 4, 3 ---------------------------- baby bull --------- 20% / 55%
June 4: 7, 4, 2, 1 ---------------------------- bear --------------- 29% / 36%
June 7: 8, 13, 2, 1, 1 ----------------------- bear --------------- 52% / 56%
June 8: 5, 4, 4, 3, 1 ------------------------ bull ------------------ 29% / 53%
June 9: 4, 3, 6, 1, 1 ---------------------- baby bear ------------- 7% / 27%
June 10: 9, 9, 1, 3, 2 ---------------------- bull -------------------- 38% / 42%
June 11: 4, 4, 7, 1 ------------------------- baby bull ------------- 44% / 69%
June 14: 11, 4, 3, 3 ----------------------- baby bear ----------- 14% / 33%
June 15: 9, 5, 3, 2, 1 ---------------------- bull ------------------- 45% / 60%
June 16: 5, 6, 1, 4, 1 ---------------------- baby bull ------------ 6% / 35%
June 17: 3, 5, 1, 2 -------------------------- baby bull ------------ 9% / 36%
June 18: 7, 7, 0, 0 -------------------------- baby bull ------------ 0% / 50%
June 21: 10, 2, 0, 1 ----------------------- baby bear ----------- 8% / 23%
June 22: 10, 3, 1, 3 ----------------------- bear ------------------ 17% / 35%
June 23: 6, 3, 1, 2, 1 --------------------- baby bull ------------- 8% / 54%
June 24: 7, 3, 2, 1 ------------------------ bear ------------------- 23% / 31%
June 25: 9, 0, 3, 3, 1 -------------------- baby bear ------------ 19% / 19%
June 28: 5, 3, 2, 4, 1 -------------------- baby bear ------------ 27% / 47%
June 29: 9, 8, 2, 0, 1 ------------------- bear -------------------- 40% / 40%
June 30: 7, 4, 3, 4, 1 ------------------- bear --------------------- 21% / 42%
July 1: 5, 11, 0, 0, 1 --------------------- baby bear ------------- 0% / 65%
July 2: 11, 3, 1, 3 ----------------------- baby bear ------------- 17% / 33%
July 6: 8, 4, 2, 3, 1 --------------------- bull --------------------- 44% / 56%
July 7: 5, 6, 3, 1, 1 --------------------- bull ---------------------- 31% / 50%
July 8: 3, 3, 6, 3, 1 -------------------- bull ---------------------- 19% / 56%
July 9: 3, 3, 1, 1, 2 -------------------- bull ----------------------- 30% / 40%
July 12: 4, 5, 5, 3 ---------------------- baby bull --------------- 29% / 53%
July 13: 6, 3, 3, 3, 1 ------------------- bull ---------------------- 38% / 56%
July 14: 8, 5, 3, 3, 1 ------------------ baby bull --------------- 15% / 55%
July 15: 9, 2, 2, 4 --------------------- baby bear -------------- 24% / 35%
July 16: 6, 6, 2, 3 --------------------- bear --------------------- 35% / 53%
OVERALL: FASTOPIA is bullish 54% of the time
586 Bull votes (6.8/night) (35% of ALL votes)
538 Bear votes (6.3/night) (32% of ALL votes)
318 Baby bull votes (3.7/night) (19% of ALL votes)
254 Baby bear votes (3/night) (15% of ALL votes)
FASTOPIA MARKET SUMMARY FROM FEB 16-PRESENT (Updated July 19)
Feb 24, March 2, March 23, March 31st, April 1st, April 7th, April 9th, April 12th, 14th, 15th, and 16th, 20th, 21st, and now June 7th, 8th, 15th, July 6th and 13th have been the times when the majority vote was dead on (18%). Notice how many times it happened while the market was going up relative to when it was going down (Spring vs. Summer).
We as a board have been on the right side 55% (47/86) of the time. After falling off for awhile as the market was defying gravity, we started predicting the moves better the last 2 weeks of March and April (a streak of 19 out of 24 [79%] days on right side!!!!). We have stayed about 50% lately (16/33 since June 1st) as the market has majorly corrected.
Market has had 37 Big moves and 49 Baby ones. Market has been up 55 out of 86 days (64%), 17 of 33 since June 1st.
Overall, I would say that more times than not, bet on us as a group being right!
(order of the numbers goes bull, bear, b bull, b bear, randoms)
*the first 2 days didn't not have baby choices.
--------------------------------------------Correct Answer------------Dead On / Right Side
Feb 16: 9, 7, 1, 1 ---------------------------- bull ----------------- 56% / 56%* would’ve been Bull
Feb 17: 20, 14, 2 ----------------------------- bull ---------------- 59% / 59%* would’ve been BBull
Feb 18: 10, 8, 6, 5, 3, 1 -------------------- bull ------------------ 30% / 48%
Feb 19: 3, 16, 2, 2, 0, 1 -------------------- baby bull ----------- 13% / 21%
Feb 22: 6, 4, 2, 5, 1, 0 --------------------- baby bear ----------- 28% / 50%
Feb 23: 7, 6, 2, 5, 1, 0 --------------------- bear ----------------- 29% / 52%
Feb 24: 9, 7, 3, 2, 1, 0 -------------------- bull ------------------- 41% / 55%
Feb 25, 10, 6, 2, 0, 1, 2 -------------------- baby bear ------------ 0% / 29%
Feb 26: 17, 2, 2, 4, 0, 1 ------------------- baby bear ------------- 15% / 23%
March 1: 11, 5, 5, 1, 0, 1 ------------------- baby bull ------------- 22% / 70%
March 2: 8, 7, 5, 5, 1, 0 --------------------- bull ------------------ 30% / 50%
March 3: 6, 10, 2, 5, 0, 0 -------------------- baby bear ------------ 22% / 65%
March 4: 9, 16, 2, 9, 0, 0 -------------------- baby bull ------------- 6% / 31%
March 5: 4, 9, 3, 5, 0, 1 ---------------------- bull -------------------- 18% / 32%
March 8: 8, 4, 4, 5, 0 ------------------------- baby bear ----------- 24% / 43%
March 9: 6, 11, 1, 4, 0, 0 -------------------- baby bull ------------- 5% / 32%
March 10: 11, 10, 2, 2, 0, 1 ----------------- baby bull ------------- 8% / 50%
March 11: 9, 11, 1, 3, 0, 0 ------------------ baby bull -------------- 4% / 42%
March 12: 3, 13, 3, 4, 2 ---------------------- baby bull ------------ 12% / 24%
March 15: 8, 6, 4, 7, 2, 3 -------------------- baby bull ------------ 13% / 40%
March 16: 6, 7, 6, 5, 0 ----------------------- baby bull ------------ 25% / 50%
March 17: 7, 10, 4, 2, 0 -------------------- baby bull -------------- 17% / 48%
March 18: 4, 11, 5, 5, 0 --------------------- baby bull ------------- 20% / 36%
March 19: 7, 5, 6, 3, 1 ------------------------ baby bear ----------- 13% / 36%
March 22: 6, 13, 4, 1, 0, 1 -------------------- baby bull ----------- 16% / 40%
March 23: 7, 3, 6, 6, 0, 3 ---------------------- bull ----------------- 28% / 52%
March 24: 3, 5, 6, 7, 0, 0 ---------------------- bear ---------------- 24% / 57%
March 25: 6, 4, 5, 6, 1, 2 --------------------- baby bull ---------- 21% / 46%
March 26: 3, 8, 6, 7 ---------------------------- baby bull ----------- 25% / 38%
March 29: 10, 6, 6, 3 --------------------------- baby bull ----------- 24% / 64%
March 30: 6, 7, 7, 4, 1 ------------------------- baby bull ------------ 28% / 52%
March 31: 3, 8, 7, 3, 1 ------------------------- bear ------------------ 36% / 50%
April 1: 10, 9, 2, 4, 1, 1 ------------------------- bull ------------------ 37% / 44%
April 5: 7, 3, 6, 3, 1 ----------------------------- baby bull ------------ 30% / 65%
April 6: 4, 5, 7, 7, 1 ----------------------------- baby bear ---------- 29% / 50%
April 7: 6, 7, 4, 3, 2, 1 -------------------------- bear ----------------- 30% / 43%
April 8: 8, 6, 4, 4 -------------------------------- baby bull ------------ 18% / 55%
April 9: 6, 5, 5, 1 --------------------------------- bull ------------------ 35% / 65%
April 12: 6, 6, 7, 2, 0, 1 ------------------------- baby bull ----------- 32% / 59%
April 13: 5, 12, 7, 2, 0 ------------------------- baby bull ------------ 27% / 46%
April 14: 9, 7, 7, 1, 0 --------------------------- bull ------------------- 38% / 67%
April 15: 7, 4, 9, 5, 0, 2 ------------------------ baby bull ------------ 33% / 59%
April 16: 3, 9, 6, 2, 0 --------------------------- bear ----------------- 45% / 55%
April 19: 6, 8, 6, 3, 0, 1 ------------------------ bull ------------------ 25% / 50%
April 20: 3, 1, 9, 2 ----------------------------- baby bull ----------- 60% / 80%
April 21: 5, 2, 13, 3, 1 ------------------------- baby bull ----------- 54% / 75%
April 22: 4, 7, 7, 1 ------------------------------ baby bull ---------- 37% / 58%
April 23: 4, 2, 5, 4 ----------------------------- bull ------------------ 27% / 60%
April 26: 7, 0, 6, 2 ----------------------------- baby bull ----------- 47% / 87%
April 27: 4, 4, 2, 1 ----------------------------- bear ---------------- 36% / 45%
April 28: 6, 3, 5, 5 ---------------------------- baby bull ---------- 26% / 58%
April 29: 3, 3, 8, 2 ----------------------------- bull --------------- 17% / 65%
April 30: 4, 4, 7, 2 ---------------------------- bear ---------------- 24% / 35%
June 1: 11, 5, 2, 2, 1 ------------------------ bear -------------- 24% / 33%
June 2: 7, 7, 2, 1, 1 ------------------------- bull ---------------- 39% / 50%
June 3: 7, 6, 4, 3 ---------------------------- baby bull --------- 20% / 55%
June 4: 7, 4, 2, 1 ---------------------------- bear --------------- 29% / 36%
June 7: 8, 13, 2, 1, 1 ----------------------- bear --------------- 52% / 56%
June 8: 5, 4, 4, 3, 1 ------------------------ bull ------------------ 29% / 53%
June 9: 4, 3, 6, 1, 1 ---------------------- baby bear ------------- 7% / 27%
June 10: 9, 9, 1, 3, 2 ---------------------- bull -------------------- 38% / 42%
June 11: 4, 4, 7, 1 ------------------------- baby bull ------------- 44% / 69%
June 14: 11, 4, 3, 3 ----------------------- baby bear ----------- 14% / 33%
June 15: 9, 5, 3, 2, 1 ---------------------- bull ------------------- 45% / 60%
June 16: 5, 6, 1, 4, 1 ---------------------- baby bull ------------ 6% / 35%
June 17: 3, 5, 1, 2 -------------------------- baby bull ------------ 9% / 36%
June 18: 7, 7, 0, 0 -------------------------- baby bull ------------ 0% / 50%
June 21: 10, 2, 0, 1 ----------------------- baby bear ----------- 8% / 23%
June 22: 10, 3, 1, 3 ----------------------- bear ------------------ 17% / 35%
June 23: 6, 3, 1, 2, 1 --------------------- baby bull ------------- 8% / 54%
June 24: 7, 3, 2, 1 ------------------------ bear ------------------- 23% / 31%
June 25: 9, 0, 3, 3, 1 -------------------- baby bear ------------ 19% / 19%
June 28: 5, 3, 2, 4, 1 -------------------- baby bear ------------ 27% / 47%
June 29: 9, 8, 2, 0, 1 ------------------- bear -------------------- 40% / 40%
June 30: 7, 4, 3, 4, 1 ------------------- bear --------------------- 21% / 42%
July 1: 5, 11, 0, 0, 1 --------------------- baby bear ------------- 0% / 65%
July 2: 11, 3, 1, 3 ----------------------- baby bear ------------- 17% / 33%
July 6: 8, 4, 2, 3, 1 --------------------- bull --------------------- 44% / 56%
July 7: 5, 6, 3, 1, 1 --------------------- bull ---------------------- 31% / 50%
July 8: 3, 3, 6, 3, 1 -------------------- bull ---------------------- 19% / 56%
July 9: 3, 3, 1, 1, 2 -------------------- bull ----------------------- 30% / 40%
July 12: 4, 5, 5, 3 ---------------------- baby bull --------------- 29% / 53%
July 13: 6, 3, 3, 3, 1 ------------------- bull ---------------------- 38% / 56%
July 14: 8, 5, 3, 3, 1 ------------------ baby bull --------------- 15% / 55%
July 15: 9, 2, 2, 4 --------------------- baby bear -------------- 24% / 35%
July 16: 6, 6, 2, 3 --------------------- bear --------------------- 35% / 53%
OVERALL: FASTOPIA is bullish 54% of the time
586 Bull votes (6.8/night) (35% of ALL votes)
538 Bear votes (6.3/night) (32% of ALL votes)
318 Baby bull votes (3.7/night) (19% of ALL votes)
254 Baby bear votes (3/night) (15% of ALL votes)
FASTOPIA MARKET SUMMARY FROM FEB 16-PRESENT (Updated July 19)
Feb 24, March 2, March 23, March 31st, April 1st, April 7th, April 9th, April 12th, 14th, 15th, and 16th, 20th, 21st, and now June 7th, 8th, 15th, July 6th and 13th have been the times when the majority vote was dead on (18%). Notice how many times it happened while the market was going up relative to when it was going down (Spring vs. Summer).
We as a board have been on the right side 55% (47/86) of the time. After falling off for awhile as the market was defying gravity, we started predicting the moves better the last 2 weeks of March and April (a streak of 19 out of 24 [79%] days on right side!!!!). We have stayed about 50% lately (16/33 since June 1st) as the market has majorly corrected.
Market has had 37 Big moves and 49 Baby ones. Market has been up 55 out of 86 days (64%), 17 of 33 since June 1st.
Overall, I would say that more times than not, bet on us as a group being right!