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Post by sp7015 on Jul 26, 2010 13:22:44 GMT -5
Something is up with aapl.
I have been watching the price of the Weekly $250 calls rise the past 10-20 minutes with the stock staying flat.
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Post by abdogman on Jul 26, 2010 13:24:53 GMT -5
BB's spreading on 1m for xlf fas faz xlf 14.70 o 1m fas on lower BB channel
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Post by ukarlewitz on Jul 26, 2010 13:29:35 GMT -5
I think that's true. On the other hand, macro has to be the worst system imaginable as it lags like hell and is complex beyond the ability of any mind. Fundamentals is tough too; take the top buy list and short it and you will outperform, and vice versa. That has been proven time and again. Me, I'm basing everything on the Green Arrow.
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Post by ukarlewitz on Jul 26, 2010 13:34:16 GMT -5
this is the lod tick, which is only -800.
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Post by Dualism on Jul 26, 2010 13:35:37 GMT -5
The 10year T-note is playing perfectly (and flawlessly) off the trendline. Uploaded with ImageShack.us
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Post by abdogman on Jul 26, 2010 13:37:04 GMT -5
xlf 14.68 on 1m macd coming back toward pos BB's spread and level all on 1m
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Post by ask2lern on Jul 26, 2010 13:38:49 GMT -5
Something is up with aapl. I have been watching the price of the Weekly $250 calls rise the past 10-20 minutes with the stock staying flat. I do not play appl or watch it but I can tell you that using that type of indicator can be very costly......................many times it is a result of retail getting sucked in.........also VIX is creeping up but I know the IV on appl can be its own animal................I could very well be 100% wrong just thought I would toss it out there...........GLTA
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Post by abdogman on Jul 26, 2010 13:50:16 GMT -5
BB's squeeze on 1m xlf fas faz xlf fas macd pos on 1m xlf at 14.6707 on 1m
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Post by jack on Jul 26, 2010 13:51:52 GMT -5
this is the lod tick, which is only -800. The witching hour's (2:45 EST) $TICK was +200-600. Doesn't really suggest anything strong for the close, right?
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Post by abdogman on Jul 26, 2010 13:55:03 GMT -5
BB's on 60m SPX narrowing
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Post by jack on Jul 26, 2010 14:00:43 GMT -5
this is the lod tick, which is only -800. The witching hour's (2:45 EST) $TICK was +200-600. Doesn't really suggest anything strong for the close, right? I'm seeing -600 ticks and more recently a +900, 1100. What's it all mean, Alfie? Up?
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Post by ukarlewitz on Jul 26, 2010 14:02:14 GMT -5
tick very neutral here. No edge either way.
Spy vol is pretty light: 125m with 60' to go.
Breadth maintaining prior strength.
It's a nice, moderate up day. No extremes. We could spend a few days here and it would be the best thing that could happen, technically.
I would say the number one clue that someone is short and sweating it is spending time reading Zero Hedge. I have been there and am full of empathy.
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Post by ukarlewitz on Jul 26, 2010 14:03:30 GMT -5
Bango. 3p and a +1100 tick. Do we get some excitement?
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Post by ask2lern on Jul 26, 2010 14:07:58 GMT -5
Bango. 3p and a +1100 tick. Do we get some excitement? This has been a very interesting phenomenon to watch on a regular basis...............I say machines ;D ;D........................GL
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Post by Dualism on Jul 26, 2010 14:08:01 GMT -5
tick very neutral here. No edge either way. Spy vol is pretty light: 125m with 60' to go. Breadth maintaining prior strength. It's a nice, moderate up day. No extremes. We could spend a few days here and it would be the best thing that could happen, technically. I would say the number one clue that someone is short and sweating it is spending time reading Zero Hedge. I have been there and am full of empathy. While they are at it, they can also read Crawford, the astrologer investor: www.marketwatch.com/story/crawford-says-apocalypse-begins-monday-2010-07-26But the opening of Crawford's July issue is definitely the sort of thing that upsets people: "NEVER SEEN ANYTHING LIKE JULY! We mean, of course, the planetary pictures in the sky which are developing towards the tightest harmonic alignments in the most potent areas of the zodiacal circle ever recorded in Earth's written history. These portend increasing and maximizing intensity and rapidity of 'change' on every level of existence: mineral, vegetable, animal, human and spirit. Will Capitalism survive? Will Democracy survive? Will our markets survive? Will governments survive? Will humanity survive? Will Earth survive?"We don't know, but we'll be SHORT for it!" Crawford -- along with other astrologers, who however are merely worried about nuclear war, the end of the world etc. -- is impressed with an imminent unusual alignment that apparently involves five key planets. He writes: "Astrologers call it the 'Cardinal Climax.' It is considered to be the most powerful and important planetary alignment of the modern era. Perhaps it heralds the beginning of the real 'Aquarian Age' or the end of the 'Mayan Calendar.' (After all, what's a few months in a 25,600-year cycle?) These energies actually maximize from July 30 through August 3. There have been 'shadows' preceding and will be echoes afterwards for quite some time." Crawford adds: "This huge alignment will be followed by a Full Moon on the Fall Equinox and a Lunar Eclipse on the Winter Solstice. We expect the depth and scope of dislocations during this period to exceed anything we have ever witnessed, both in otherwise civilized interaction among nations, and likely our fill in natural disasters." "We continue to recommend extreme caution and proper emergency measures such as extra food, water, medicines and cash over the next 24 months in particular. Do NOT wait any longer!!" Let the record, show, however, that Crawford's last issue also repeatedly allowed for what it described as "some attempts to correct an oversold market sometime in July." What are Crawford's results? Over the year to date through June, the letter is down 0.4% by Hulbert Financial Digest count, definitely better than the negative 5.8% of the dividend-reinvested Wilshire 5000 Total Stock Market Index. Crawford did underperform the market in 2009. ( See Dec. 24, 2009, column.) But even so, over the past three years the letter is up 9.42% annualized versus negative 9.36% annualized for the total return Wilshire 5000. Over the many years that it has been followed by Hulbert, Crawford's record has been checkered but interspersed with occasional bursts of eerie prescience. Which is it this time? Crawford Perspectives usually publishes on the first Monday of each month. But its next issue is delayed until August 9 -- possibly to save mailing costs if the world ends.
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Post by jack on Jul 26, 2010 14:08:50 GMT -5
Bango. 3p and a +1100 tick. Do we get some excitement? SPY macd positive...OBV at high but stochs O/B (1min)
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Post by ukarlewitz on Jul 26, 2010 14:13:15 GMT -5
underwear shorts are wearing just came out of a very hot drier. All cotton. Have shrunk horribly.
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Post by jack on Jul 26, 2010 14:16:39 GMT -5
tick very neutral here. No edge either way. Spy vol is pretty light: 125m with 60' to go. Breadth maintaining prior strength. It's a nice, moderate up day. No extremes. We could spend a few days here and it would be the best thing that could happen, technically. I would say the number one clue that someone is short and sweating it is spending time reading Zero Hedge. I have been there and am full of empathy. While they are at it, they can also read Crawford, the astrologer investor: www.marketwatch.com/story/crawford-says-apocalypse-begins-monday-2010-07-26But the opening of Crawford's July issue is definitely the sort of thing that upsets people: "NEVER SEEN ANYTHING LIKE JULY! We mean, of course, the planetary pictures in the sky which are developing towards the tightest harmonic alignments in the most potent areas of the zodiacal circle ever recorded in Earth's written history. These portend increasing and maximizing intensity and rapidity of 'change' on every level of existence: mineral, vegetable, animal, human and spirit. Will Capitalism survive? Will Democracy survive? Will our markets survive? Will governments survive? Will humanity survive? Will Earth survive?"We don't know, but we'll be SHORT for it!" Crawford -- along with other astrologers, who however are merely worried about nuclear war, the end of the world etc. -- is impressed with an imminent unusual alignment that apparently involves five key planets. He writes: "Astrologers call it the 'Cardinal Climax.' It is considered to be the most powerful and important planetary alignment of the modern era. Perhaps it heralds the beginning of the real 'Aquarian Age' or the end of the 'Mayan Calendar.' (After all, what's a few months in a 25,600-year cycle?) These energies actually maximize from July 30 through August 3. There have been 'shadows' preceding and will be echoes afterwards for quite some time." Crawford adds: "This huge alignment will be followed by a Full Moon on the Fall Equinox and a Lunar Eclipse on the Winter Solstice. We expect the depth and scope of dislocations during this period to exceed anything we have ever witnessed, both in otherwise civilized interaction among nations, and likely our fill in natural disasters." "We continue to recommend extreme caution and proper emergency measures such as extra food, water, medicines and cash over the next 24 months in particular. Do NOT wait any longer!!" Let the record, show, however, that Crawford's last issue also repeatedly allowed for what it described as "some attempts to correct an oversold market sometime in July." What are Crawford's results? Over the year to date through June, the letter is down 0.4% by Hulbert Financial Digest count, definitely better than the negative 5.8% of the dividend-reinvested Wilshire 5000 Total Stock Market Index. Crawford did underperform the market in 2009. ( See Dec. 24, 2009, column.) But even so, over the past three years the letter is up 9.42% annualized versus negative 9.36% annualized for the total return Wilshire 5000. Over the many years that it has been followed by Hulbert, Crawford's record has been checkered but interspersed with occasional bursts of eerie prescience. Which is it this time? Crawford Perspectives usually publishes on the first Monday of each month. But its next issue is delayed until August 9 -- possibly to save mailing costs if the world ends. An astrologer once told me I had a tendency to gain weight. I'm now 15-20# heavier.
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Post by abdogman on Jul 26, 2010 14:23:28 GMT -5
xlf 14.72 on 1m BB's spreading ramping up
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Post by jack on Jul 26, 2010 14:29:32 GMT -5
xlf 14.72 on 1m BB's spreading ramping up VIX in
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Post by ukarlewitz on Jul 26, 2010 14:30:35 GMT -5
So the plan is to pin it to the 200 at the close. Sets up interesting post market decision making for everyone. Could be the start of the o/n gap up over major R like we saw in March/April.
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Post by brosin on Jul 26, 2010 14:32:34 GMT -5
So the plan is to pin it to the 200 at the close. Sets up interesting post market decision making for everyone. Could be the start of the o/n gap up over major R like we saw in March/April. Kind of have the feeling we are set up for gap and crap tomorrow. Would be the perfect setup to get the bears excited yet again as they'd be putting their K.....R hats on. Then Wed/Thurs would be fun! ;D
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Post by Dualism on Jul 26, 2010 14:34:13 GMT -5
So the plan is to pin it to the 200 at the close. Sets up interesting post market decision making for everyone. Could be the start of the o/n gap up over major R like we saw in March/April. You have to hand it to the squid for its congruency of 200 dma and 22.87 VIX.
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Post by ukarlewitz on Jul 26, 2010 14:39:17 GMT -5
I think most are expecting it to crap. I know I am. It makes me feel like we run higher first. I think that would surprise the most. I think longs are underweight and shorts are still hopeful of avoiding the bag.
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Post by Dualism on Jul 26, 2010 14:42:01 GMT -5
I understand the notion of fooling the most all the time.
I just don't see how NYMO can power through to +90.
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Post by ukarlewitz on Jul 26, 2010 14:42:48 GMT -5
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Post by brosin on Jul 26, 2010 14:44:09 GMT -5
I think most are expecting it to crap. I know I am. It makes me feel like we run higher first. I think that would surprise the most. I think longs are underweight and shorts are still hopeful of avoiding the bag. I'm in this same boat and agree with you. But the bears have got to eat a little bit if they're going to stay alive for the beginning portions of this rally. And if we're going to rally, we need the bears to be alive and well, fighting to the end.
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Post by Dualism on Jul 26, 2010 14:49:06 GMT -5
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Post by ukarlewitz on Jul 26, 2010 14:49:11 GMT -5
nymo - the same set up occurred in March. I have no clue but perhaps nysi is sufficiently neutral to allow a sustained up move like we had then. Both nymo and nysi are similar now to then. Uploaded with ImageShack.us
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Post by jack on Jul 26, 2010 14:50:28 GMT -5
I think most are expecting it to crap. I know I am. It makes me feel like we run higher first. I think that would surprise the most. I think longs are underweight and shorts are still hopeful of avoiding the bag. I'm in this same boat and agree with you. But the bears have got to eat a little bit if they're going to stay alive for the beginning portions of this rally. And if we're going to rally, we need the bears to be alive and well, fighting to the end. Bears have eaten enough since May 2010 - let them DIE (sorry).
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